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Analyst links Bitcoin’s current decline to prior liquidation-driven lows

A Blockonomi-sourced analyst assessment says Bitcoin’s decline is approaching levels previously associated with forced selling and potential recovery beginnings.

A Blockonomi-sourced analyst assessment says Bitcoin’s decline is approaching levels previously associated with forced selling and potential recovery beginnings. Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at ₹61,23,830 ($64,966.00), down 0.3% since this brief published. This is an original Token Times brief based on reporting by Blockonomi, with live market data added, as of Sun, 15 Nov 2026 03:45:01 UTC.

Why it matters

Bitcoin’s current drawdown would put it near the depth cited in previous market cycles, where liquidations occurred while sentiment remained deeply pessimistic. The comparison highlights the role of leverage in amplifying price declines rather than establishing a confirmed turning point.

Key takeaways
  • Analyst cites prior Bitcoin drawdowns of 85%, 84%, and 78% at market lows.
  • Bitcoin is now about 53% below its 2025 peak, according to the analyst comparison.
  • BTC trades at $65,177, down 5.01% over 24 hours and 13.59% over seven days.
  • Crypto sentiment remains in Extreme Fear at 13.

Blockonomi, the sole outlet covering the development, reports that analyst Sarosh views Bitcoin’s present decline as approaching historical conditions in which forced selling was largely exhausted. Under that framework, recovery could begin while fear remained high, although the account does not establish that a bottom has formed.

Saroshes said automated closures of leveraged futures positions can create liquidation cascades. He cited prior Bitcoin declines of 85%, 84%, and 78% into past lows, compared with an approximately 53% fall from Bitcoin’s 2025 peak at the point of the analysis. The figure was presented as a historical comparison rather than a forecast of an imminent rebound.

Bitcoin is trading at $65,177, down 5.01% over 24 hours and 13.59% over seven days, with a market capitalization of $1.31 trillion. The broader crypto market is broadly lower and carries a total capitalization of $2.27 trillion. The Fear & Greed index stands at 13, placing sentiment in Extreme Fear.

The mechanism matters because leverage can force positions to close as prices decline, adding selling pressure beyond the participants directly looking to exit. The analyst’s focus on how buyers respond after such liquidations is the main condition to monitor; the supplied information does not confirm that this threshold has been reached or predict where Bitcoin goes next.

Market reaction since this brief Live

Since this brief published about 15 hours ago, Bitcoin (BTC) has moved from ₹61,43,719.33$65,177.00 to ₹61,23,830.03$64,966.00 — -0.32%.

$64,936$65,004$65,072$65,139$65,207 published · $65,177 now · $64,966 (-0.32%) Nov 14 13:03 UTC Nov 15 03:45 UTC
BeforeSince publishPublished · ₹61,43,719.33$65,177.00

The chart plots BTC's price: grey is the move before this brief published, the vertical dashed line marks the moment it published, the horizontal dashed line is the price then, and the coloured area is the move since — from Token Times's market data (daily resolution). It shows what happened after the news, not that the news caused it; many factors move prices. Not financial advice.

Prediction-market odds snapshot

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on November 14?

Yes 43%

Crowd-implied probability on Polymarket, ₹9.13M 24h volume, resolves Nov 15 — snapshotted when this brief published (Nov 14 17:05 UTC). A market price reflects what traders collectively expect; it is not a forecast by Token Times and will have moved since. View the market ↗

What this means in rupee

At today's peer-to-peer rate, 1 BTC ≈ ₹6.80M (about $64,966.00), down 2.8% over 24 hours. The rupee itself trades about 11.1% above the official rate on the P2P market, so a Indian buyer's effective cost differs from the headline dollar price.

Live market data

Current prices for the asset in this story — live, source-stamped, updated every 15 minutes.

#1
₹61,23,830.03$64,966.00 ▼ 2.80%
-0.32% since this brief published
7d -14.28%MCap ₹123.16TFull BTC data →
The market when this published · November 14, 2026
Total market cap₹213.66T
Bitcoin 24h-5.01%
Ethereum 24h-5.53%
BTC dominance57.8%
Fear & Greed13 · Extreme Fear

Analyst links Bitcoin’s current decline to prior liquidation — questions & answers

How does Bitcoin leverage amplify a sell-off?

Forced selling can compound an initial price decline, as leveraged positions are closed and create further liquidation cascades.

Which historical Bitcoin drawdowns did the analyst cite?

The analyst cited declines of 85%, 84%, and 78% into previous lows, versus about 53% from Bitcoin’s 2025 peak at the time of the analysis.

What is Bitcoin’s current market context?

Bitcoin trades at $65,177, down 5.01% over 24 hours and 13.59% over seven days. The Fear & Greed index is 13, indicating Extreme Fear.

How much is 1 Bitcoin worth in rupee today?

About ₹6.80M at the live peer-to-peer (P2P) USDT rate, which is what Indians typically trade at — equivalent to roughly $64,966.00. The rupee price moves with both BTC's US-dollar price and the USDT/INR rate; use our Bitcoin in rupee page for any amount.

Has Bitcoin's price moved since this brief was published?

BTC is down 0.32% since this brief first published — trading at ₹61,23,830 ($64,966.00) now versus ₹61,43,719 ($65,177.00) at publication. Token Times re-checks this figure against CoinGecko and Binance every 15 minutes.

Which outlets reported this story?

This is an original Token Times brief that synthesises reporting from Blockonomi. It is not a copy of any one article — follow the source links above for the original reporting.

Token Times Newsdesk Data-stamped

Token Times's newsdesk writes original briefs by synthesising coverage from across the crypto press — 50+ outlets including CoinDesk, The Block, Decrypt and Cointelegraph — cross-checking the figures they report — and verifying them against on-chain data from DeFiLlama and mempool.space — plus live market context (CoinGecko, Binance). We summarise and link to every source; we never reproduce full articles. Read our editorial standards and how we use AI. Not financial advice.

Market data verified against CoinGecko & Binance · November 14, 2026 ⛓ Timestamped at Bitcoin block #975,819 sha256:1cb33172b618b0a9
Based on reporting by Blockonomi — this is an original Token Times summary with live market data, not the original article.Blockonomi · Nov 14 13:03 ↗

Original summary — not financial advice. This is an original Token Times brief that summarises a development reported elsewhere and adds live market data for context; it is not the original article and reproduces no part of it. Follow the source link above for full details. Crypto is volatile and high-risk — always do your own research.