Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Weakness Amid Stagnant Monetary Policy
Prominent crypto figure Arthur Hayes suggests Bitcoin will struggle until monetary expansion resumes.
Prominent crypto figure Arthur Hayes suggests Bitcoin will struggle until monetary expansion resumes. Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at ₹72,71,905 ($76,604.00), down 0.2% since this brief published. This is an original Token Times brief based on reporting by BeInCrypto, with live market data added, as of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 06:45:01 UTC.
Hayes' analysis highlights the ongoing influence of monetary policy on Bitcoin's price trajectory, suggesting a direct link between liquidity conditions and crypto market performance.
- Arthur Hayes forecasts Bitcoin weakness until monetary expansion resumes.
- Current dollar liquidity gauge shows some improvement despite market downturn.
- Bitcoin down 2.28% in 24 hours amid broader market decline.
Arthur Hayes, a well-known figure in the crypto space, has stated that 
Bitcoin will continue to face downward pressure until there is a notable expansion in the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve or major banks. This perspective suggests a direct correlation between monetary policy and Bitcoin's price performance.
Despite a slight increase in a dollar liquidity gauge, which typically indicates improved market conditions, Bitcoin's price has not responded positively. This could be due to broader macroeconomic factors and lingering uncertainty in the financial markets.
The current market data shows Bitcoin trading at $76,728, marking a 2.28% decrease over the past 24 hours and a 3.61% decline over the last week. The overall crypto market cap stands at $2.64 trillion, reflecting a broad downturn in the sector.
Hayes' analysis underscores the influence of central bank policies on crypto markets, suggesting that without significant monetary expansion, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may struggle to regain upward momentum.
Investors and analysts will be closely watching for any signs of balance sheet expansion from the Federal Reserve or major financial institutions, as this could be a catalyst for a potential market reversal.
Since this brief published about 4 hours ago, Bitcoin (BTC) has moved from ₹72,83,675.79$76,728.00 to ₹72,71,904.65$76,604.00 — -0.16%.
The chart plots BTC's price: grey is the move before this brief published, the vertical dashed line marks the moment it published, the horizontal dashed line is the price then, and the coloured area is the move since — from Token Times's market data (daily resolution). It shows what happened after the news, not that the news caused it; many factors move prices. Not financial advice.
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?
Crowd-implied probability on Polymarket, ₹24.01M 24h volume, resolves Dec 1 — snapshotted when this brief published (Nov 3 04:05 UTC). A market price reflects what traders collectively expect; it is not a forecast by Token Times and will have moved since. View the market ↗
At today's peer-to-peer rate, 1 BTC ≈ ₹7.95M (about $76,604.00), down 1.9% over 24 hours. The rupee itself trades about 9.3% above the official rate on the P2P market, so a Indian buyer's effective cost differs from the headline dollar price.
Live market data
Current prices for the asset in this story — live, source-stamped, updated every 15 minutes.
Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Weakness Amid Stagnant Monetar — questions & answers
What is Arthur Hayes' prediction for Bitcoin?
Hayes predicts Bitcoin will remain weak until the Fed or banks expand their balance sheets.
Why is Bitcoin's price declining?
Bitcoin is down due to anticipated monetary policy constraints and broader market conditions.
What is the current state of the crypto market?
The total crypto market cap is $2.64T, with Bitcoin at $76,728, down 2.28% in 24 hours.
How much is 1 Bitcoin worth in rupee today?
About ₹7.95M at the live peer-to-peer (P2P) USDT rate, which is what Indians typically trade at — equivalent to roughly $76,604.00. The rupee price moves with both BTC's US-dollar price and the USDT/INR rate; use our Bitcoin in rupee page for any amount.
Has Bitcoin's price moved since this brief was published?
BTC is down 0.16% since this brief first published — trading at ₹72,71,905 ($76,604.00) now versus ₹72,83,676 ($76,728.00) at publication. Token Times re-checks this figure against CoinGecko and Binance every 15 minutes.
Which outlets reported this story?
This is an original Token Times brief that synthesises reporting from BeInCrypto. It is not a copy of any one article — follow the source links above for the original reporting.
Original summary — not financial advice. This is an original Token Times brief that summarises a development reported elsewhere and adds live market data for context; it is not the original article and reproduces no part of it. Follow the source link above for full details. Crypto is volatile and high-risk — always do your own research.